COVID-19 Archives - Art-Invests

The global economy is on the edge of a precipice, and it may be the biggest crisis since the Second World War.

The invasion of Ukraine has compounded the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. It brings the cost of the food and fuel to skyrocket which weighing on the economic recovery and fanning inflation.

Rising interest rates are putting more pressure on countries, companies, and households. Climate changes, market turbulence and ongoing supply chain constraints also make the situation become more worse.

To lower economic stress, the IMP is calling for government officials and business leaders meeting in Davos to discuss reducing trade barriers.

However, earlier this month, Indian government decided to ban the export of wheat and it triggered the price of grain soaring. Some countries are heading in the opposite direction of IMF and implementing restrictions on trade in food and agriculture products that could probably exacerbate the shortages and push the prices even higher.

Image source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/american-and-chinese-flags-and-usa-dollars-4386371/

Investment

USD 3.5 trillion budget plan for Americans

August 11, 2021 Art-Invests | Investing in Art

Senate Democats just passed a USD 3.5 trillion plan early Wednesday. The bill will spend on the establishment of a Civilian Climate Corps, adds new dental, cision and hearing benefits to medicare coverage and investment in affordable housing.

Even though the GOP (Republican National Committee) voted against, the bill has passed without a Republican vote. Biden Adminstration previously said the US government will have tax increases on corporations and wealthy individuals to pay for the USD 3.5 trilliion plan.

There are many conerens about the 3.5 trillion plan will cause inflation. President Joe Biden hit back against information concern on Wednesday and would like to downplayed concerns about price hikes. and cited that his plans for the American economy are working. The President Joe Biden said that the consumner price inflation slowed in July. But his adminstration will also outline a number of resolutions to lower the consumer costs.

However, there is one more concern about his 3.5 trillion plan. There is no one can gurantee the US government will have substantial tax incomes from coporations and wealthy people to cover this plan. Tax incomes may get affected by the pandemic.

Investment

Transitory Inflation Sparks the Fears of Economic Slowdown

July 29, 2021July 29, 2021 Art-Invests | Investing in Art

The Federal Reserve left interest rate and monetery policy unchanged. This indicates that the US is incomplete economic recovery until now.

Some economic experts believe that Federal Reserve will be wrong on inflation being temporary. From my point of view, it is quite difficult to predict inflation at this moment. Fears about the highly contagious Delta variant of Covid-19 leading to another round of economic slowdown. However, rising infection cases will cause more supply chain interruptions leading to more inflation.

Meanwhile, some leading companies expressed that they are passing rising costs along to consumers which point out that some inflation will stick around.

As there are industry raw material inflation and higher transportation costs, implementing additional prices increases become necessary.

Another concern is that it is stagflation instead of transitory inflation. That toxic combination of slowing growth and rising prices is a real risk and a dangerous signal of stagflation.

Theoretically, stagflation will trigger bullish markets for commodity and bullions. If there is rising inflation, investors will look at hard assets including bullion markets, like Gold, Silver, Platinum.

Do you believe that bullions prices are starting to rise again?

Let me know your thought.